Politics

Germany Election 2025

 Will Germany’s New Government Tighten Immigration Rules? Here’s What to Expect

Feb 11, 2025

Immigration control
Immigration control

Germany faces a defining moment in its immigration story. The country now hosts nearly 3.5 million migrants under international protection in 2024. The Bundestag's recent actions point to major policy changes ahead. The parliament's lower house has approved new strict migration measures. These include permanent border checks across almost 3,700 kilometers of land borders. The "Influx Limitation Law" failed by a close vote of 350 to 338, which sparked heated debates about immigration reform. Recent attacks with migrant suspects have added pressure on politicians to take tougher action. These developments are part of Germany's evolving immigration landscape in early 2024.


CDU Proposes Radical Changes to Immigration Laws

The CDU under Friedrich Merz has put forward a detailed five-point migration plan that wants to revolutionize Germany's immigration system. Parliament barely passed the plan which suggests turning away asylum seekers at Germany's borders, despite concerns about clashing with German and EU asylum laws [1].

How Border Controls Will Intensify

Germany's Federal Ministry of the Interior has extended temporary border controls with France, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Belgium and Denmark. These controls will last six months starting September 16, 2024 [2]. Border authorities now use a complete set of fixed and mobile policing measures at every land border. The Federal Police have caught about 52,000 illegal entries and stopped 30,000 people from entering Germany's borders since October 2023 [2].

What Changes for Asylum Seekers?

The new rules will alter asylum procedures by a lot. Authorities will now immediately detain people who must leave the country under the new framework [3]. The CDU promotes a "secure third country solution" that would move asylum procedures and protection grants outside Germany and the EU [3]. On top of that, the party plans to:

  • Stop family reunification for those entitled to subsidiary protection

  • End all voluntary admission programs

  • Add more countries to the safe countries of origin list

  • Start deportations to Syria and Afghanistan again [19]

The Federal Police can now stop people from entering if they lack valid documents, show forged papers, or try to enter without proper visas [2]. All the same, these rules face legal challenges because European law requires asylum seekers to enter the country first before their cases can be processed [5].

Note: These proposed changes will only take effect based on legal and political factors, including EU regulation compliance and possible constitutional challenges.

Opposition Parties Battle Over Migration Reform

German parliament's rejection of a controversial immigration bill by 350 votes to 338 has intensified the political climate around immigration reform [6]. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) now stands as the second strongest political force in four eastern German states [7]. This development has reshaped the migration debate.

AfD's Growing Influence Shapes Policy

The AfD shows its growing influence through its anti-immigration stance, and polls consistently show about 20% nationwide support [8]. The party promotes controversial policies like mass deportations and border closures instead of working with mainstream parties [9].

SPD and Greens Push Back Against Restrictions

The Social Democrats (SPD) and Greens have built strong opposition to restrictive immigration measures. Their core resistance focuses on:

  • Rejection of third-country asylum processing

  • Defense of family reunification rights

  • Protection of individual asylum hearing rights

  • Support for Mediterranean Sea rescue operations [10]

Coalition Dynamics at Play

Complex negotiations between parties led to a coalition agreement that sets annual refugee numbers between 180,000-220,000 [11]. The SPD secured 1,000 monthly family reunification visas for refugees [12]. The Green Party's traditional moderate immigration stance has changed toward supporting stricter measures for rejected asylum seekers [7].

Friedrich Merz's willingness to work with the AfD on immigration reform sparked nationwide protests and increased political tensions [13]. Opposition leader Rolf Mützenich accused the CDU of undermining democratic principles when they thought over cooperation with far-right elements [8].

Note: Future immigration policies depend on parliamentary approval and coalition negotiations after the February 2025 elections.

German Businesses React to Immigration Overhaul

German businesses are dealing with major workforce challenges. The country faces around 1.34 million unfilled jobs in the first quarter of 2024 [14]. Recent immigration reforms have created mixed reactions from industry leaders.

Labor Market Implications

The labor shortage has become a major roadblock to Germany's economic growth, especially when you have sectors like healthcare, IT, engineering, and construction [15]. Employment data shows non-EU citizens make up more than half of the total workforce increase, adding 995,000 new workers in the last five years [14]. The first year of new provisions saw about 200,000 visas issued for gainful employment, which shows a 10% increase from the previous year [14].

Industry Leaders Voice Concerns

Business leaders have raised several concerns about the immigration overhaul:

  • Complex paperwork that slows down talent acquisition

  • High taxation compared to international standards

  • Infrastructure challenges, especially in housing

  • Recognition of foreign qualifications still needs improvement [16]

The Institute for Employment Research shows German employers don't deal very well with labor shortages. They hit a record high in 2022 with 1.74 million vacant positions [17]. The reforms want to address these issues by introducing three key changes for employers looking for international talent in 2024 [17].

The new immigration framework is a great way to get skilled workers, but businesses stress the need for faster visa processing and fewer administrative hurdles. The Federal Government recognizes that a welcoming culture, beyond legal frameworks, plays a crucial role in attracting international talent [14].

Note: These developments are part of ongoing immigration policy changes, and their implementation may evolve based on political decisions and economic needs.

EU Commission Questions Germany's Border Strategy

The European Commission has raised serious concerns about Germany's decision to implement border controls at all nine of its land borders. This marks a radical change in EU border policy. Brussels officials called the move "transparent" and "obviously aimed at a domestic audience" [18].

Schengen Agreement Under Pressure

The Schengen area, which covers 25 EU member states plus four others, faces unprecedented challenges. The European Commission stresses that border controls must remain "exceptional, strictly limited in time, and a measure of last resort" [4]. The Bertelsmann Foundation's research shows that bringing back internal border controls could cost Europe around €470 billion in lost growth over ten years [18].

Legal Challenges Emerge

The European Commission serves as the Schengen treaty's guarantor and now faces mounting pressure to handle these developments. Alberto Alemanno, a professor of European law at HEC Paris, believes the temporary German controls "represent a manifestly disproportionate breach of the principle of free movement within the Schengen area" [18]. The EU's main concerns include:

  • The necessity and proportionality of the measures

  • The strict exceptionality requirement

  • The potential precedent for other member states

  • The effects on fundamental EU principles

Other EU Nations Watch Closely

Neighboring countries have shown mixed reactions to this development. Poland's Prime Minister Donald Tusk called the decision "unacceptable" and asked for urgent consultations [18]. Austria refuses to accept migrants returned from German borders [18]. France's Prime Minister has without doubt indicated they might expand their own border controls, similar to Germany's approach [4].

Note: These developments are part of ongoing policy changes in German immigration law, and their implementation may evolve based on legal challenges and diplomatic negotiations.

Conclusion

Germany faces a turning point as political parties disagree over immigration reforms while businesses struggle with worker shortages. The CDU's five-point migration plan and stronger border controls show a most important change toward tighter immigration policies. These changes definitely show the public's growing worries about migration control and national security.

Political divisions run deep, and the AfD's growing influence makes mainstream parties take harder positions on immigration. German businesses now need to balance their workforce requirements against tighter immigration rules. The extended border controls have started debates in the EU about the future of free movement in the Schengen area.

Germany's approach to immigration reform ended up reshaping its domestic policies and European migration strategies. These measures will work only if they balance security concerns, economic needs, and international duties.

Disclaimer: This analysis reflects the current situation as of early 2024. Immigration policies and their implementation may change based on political developments, legal challenges, and economic factors. Readers should consult official sources for the most current information about German immigration rules.

References

[1] - https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2025/01/29/germanys-opposition-leader-merz-vows-to-push-asylum-law-change-through-parliament
[2] - https://www.bmi.bund.de/SharedDocs/pressemitteilungen/EN/2024/09/binnengrenzkontrollen_en.html
[3] - https://www.thelocal.de/20250127/what-is-the-cdus-controversial-immigration-plan-for-germany
[4] - https://tvpworld.com/82694727/germanys-border-controls-risk-undermining-the-schengen-zone-warn-eu-officials
[5] - https://www.dw.com/en/germany-conservatives-immigration-legal-issues/a-71444511
[6] - https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2025/jan/31/europe-live-germany-parliament-migration-latest-updates-news
[7] - https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-struggles-to-contain-migration-influx/
[8] - https://www.dw.com/en/german-lawmakers-reject-contentious-immigration-law/live-71465034
[9] - https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62q937y029o
[10] - https://www.infomigrants.net/en/post/61834/germany-elections-where-do-the-parties-stand-on-immigration-issues
[11] - https://www.deutschland.de/en/topic/politics/coalition-agreement-europe-foreign-policy-and-migration
[12] - https://theconversation.com/germanys-not-so-grand-coalition-may-cause-ripple-effects-on-european-refugee-policy-94098
[13] - https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/1/31/german-parliament-rejects-opposition-migration-bill-backed-by-far-right-afd
[14] - https://www.bmi.bund.de/SharedDocs/pressemitteilungen/EN/2024/11/fachkraefteeinwanderung.html
[15] - https://www.alumniportal-deutschland.org/en/magazine/career/skilled-immigration-act/
[16] - https://www.freiheit.org/germany/immigration-policy-germanys-struggle-attract-skilled-workers
[17] - https://www.localyze.com/blog/what-employers-should-know-about-germanys-new-immigration-law
[18] - https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/sep/10/the-end-of-schengen-germanys-new-border-controls-put-eu-unity-at-risk
[19] - https://www.cdu.de/app/uploads/2025/01/wahlprogramm-cdu-csu-kurzfassung-englisch.pdf

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